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Create: 2023-12-10 Update: 2024-05-19 04:14:39

Я вот стал задумываться: а будет ли влиять снижение американской ставки ФРС на доходности замещающих облигаций?

В теории должны. Тут много НО, и все они связаны с текущей иррациональностью нашего рынка.

1) Я пытался загуглить этот вопрос, чтобы почитать мнения людей, но статей на эту тему практически нет. Значит, что вопрос такой в головах людей просто не встает. Даже "профессионалы" блогеры, получается, не задумываются об этом.

2) При чуть окрепшем рубле, спрос на замещайки сейчас такой бешеный, что всем просто плевать на какую-то там ФРС. А рынком управляют спрос и предложение. Поэтому рациональности тут я не жду.

3) Дефицит нормальных валютных инструментов на бирже. Очень многие люди еще до СВО инвестировали только в американские акции и облигации. Сейчас это крайне опасно. Куда они идут? В золото, крипту..... ииии.... замещайки, правильно.

Все это наводит на мысли, что ставка вряд ли будет сказываться на доходности облигаций. По крайней мере, первое время.

@zhukovfinance

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Я вот стал задумываться: а будет ли влиять снижение американской ставки ФРС на доходности замещающих облигаций?

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