🥀 یک حرف از هزاران | United States America (US)

Create: 2024-04-14 Update: 2024-04-30 07:47:12

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🔹️لغو احتمالی حمله تلافی‌جویانه اسرائیل

اگر اسرائیل به هر دلیل عملیات تلافی‌جویانه‌اش را لغو کند، حتی به این دلیل که آقای عبداللهیان گفته «موضوع را قبلاً به اطلاع آمریکا رسانده‌اند»، یک برگ برنده سیاسی برای جمهوری اسلامی خواهد بود. تأثیر نظامی و بازدارندگیِ طولانی‌مدت چنین عملیاتی اما تابع تبلیغات طرفین نیست. زیرا هر دو طرف دیشب به‌طور واقعی از قدرت حمله و توان دفاعی یکدیگر ارزیابی دقیق و کاملی انجام دادند.

بنابراین اگر همان‌طور که سردار باقری گفته ازنظر جمهوری اسلامی عملیات علیه اسرائیل در همین‌جا تمام شده باشد و اسرائيل هم به همان دفاع دیشب بسنده کند و عملیات دیگری علیه جمهوری اسلامی انجام ندهد، شکل معادلات سیاسی و نظامی منطقه پس‌از این ماجرا جور دیگری خواهد بود.

اما اگر اسرائیل کوچک‌ترین عملیات تلافی‌جویانه‌ای انجام دهد و یا شورای امنیت اقدام اجرایی خاصی بر علیه ایران تصویب کند، در همچنان بر همان پاشنه سابق می‌گردد.

#ثنایی_نژاد
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🥀 یک حرف از هزاران

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🥀 یک حرف از هزاران

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