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🔹️آیا اسرائیل حمله تلافی‌جویانه انجام خواهد داد؟!

بسیار بعید است که اسرائیل ساکت بماند و هیچ واکنش نظامی نشان ندهد. حتی اگر آمریکا مخالف باشد و از او پشتیبانی لجستیکی نکند. اگر هم فرض کنیم آمریکا بخواهد مشابه عین‌الاسد عمل کند و از تشدید این تنش جلوگیری نماید، دشوار به‌نظر می‌رسد در همین مرحله متوقف شود.

اما تردیدی نیست که اسرائیل تا قبل از نیمه‌شب امشب کاری نخواهد کرد و منتظر می‌ماند تا نتیجهٔ جلسهٔ شورای امنیت که در همان حدود نیمه‌شب به وقت تهران آغاز می‌شود، معلوم گردد. در این جلسه اگر قطعنامه‌‌ای تصویب شود که اقدام بین‌المللی خاصی را علیه ایران تصویب کند، به احتمال زیاد به‌وسیلهٔ چین یا روسیه وتو می‌شود. اگر هم در حد محکوم کردن باشد، به‌هرحال برای اسرائیل لازم است تا همین نتیجه رسماً اعلام شود. بنابراین می‌توان تقریباً مطمئن بود که اسرائیل حداقل تا نیمه‌شب امشب دست به عملیات نظامی خاصی نزند.

#ثنایی_نژاد
🆔 @yek_harf_az_hezaran

🥀 یک حرف از هزاران
‌
🔹️آیا اسرائیل حمله تلافی‌جویانه انجام خواهد داد؟!

بسیار بعید است که اسرائیل ساکت بماند و هیچ واکنش نظامی نشان ندهد. حتی اگر آمریکا مخالف باشد و از او پشتیبانی لجستیکی نکند. اگر هم فرض کنیم آمریکا بخواهد مشابه عین‌الاسد عمل کند و از تشدید این تنش جلوگیری نماید، دشوار به‌نظر می‌رسد در همین مرحله متوقف شود.

اما تردیدی نیست که اسرائیل تا قبل از نیمه‌شب امشب کاری نخواهد کرد و منتظر می‌ماند تا نتیجهٔ جلسهٔ شورای امنیت که در همان حدود نیمه‌شب به وقت تهران آغاز می‌شود، معلوم گردد. در این جلسه اگر قطعنامه‌‌ای تصویب شود که اقدام بین‌المللی خاصی را علیه ایران تصویب کند، به احتمال زیاد به‌وسیلهٔ چین یا روسیه وتو می‌شود. اگر هم در حد محکوم کردن باشد، به‌هرحال برای اسرائیل لازم است تا همین نتیجه رسماً اعلام شود. بنابراین می‌توان تقریباً مطمئن بود که اسرائیل حداقل تا نیمه‌شب امشب دست به عملیات نظامی خاصی نزند.

#ثنایی_نژاد
🆔 @yek_harf_az_hezaran
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How Do Japanese Show They Care? By Sending a Telegram.

TOKYO — When he got married this summer, Hiroshi Kanno, who works at a security services firm in Tokyo, wanted to make a big statement that would impress his future in-laws. So he asked for his company’s president to send a congratulatory telegram. It arrived during the wedding party and was read aloud. “It really pumped up the atmosphere,” Mr. Kanno, 33, said. “I felt like a celebrity,” added his wife, Asuka, a 31-year-old office administrator. They posted photos of that message and another wedding telegram on Twitter, along with the his-and-her Hello Kitty dolls that were delivered with the notes.

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