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Create: 2025-05-23 Update: 2025-07-03 01:13:11

✈️ Разбор акций "Аэрофлот" (AFLT-D)
Стратегия: Среднесрочная торговля (бычий/медвежий сценарий)

📊 Технический анализ
200 EMA (коричневая) — критическая поддержка
Текущая зона:
38.2 Фибо (67.5)
Нижняя граница BB (синяя)
Сопротивления:
Скользящие сверху (13/50 EMA)
Локальные экстремумы 69.4-71.5

📌 Индикаторы
RSI: ~40 (зона продавцов, но без перепроданности)
Объёмы: Снижение покупок — давление покупателей ослабевает

🎯 Торговый план
Бычий сценарий:
Закрепление выше 67.5 (закрытие свечи)
Подтверждение: рост объёмов + RSI >45
Медвежий сценарий:
Закрепление ниже 66.5
Подтверждение: увеличение объёмов продаж
Стоп-лосс: 2.5-3% от точки входа

Тейк-профит: 5-6%
Бычий: 69.4-71.5
Медвежий: зона 200 EMA

📈📉 Два сценария
1. Бычий (если удержит поддержку)
Отскок от 67.5 → тест 69.4-71.5
Преодоление скользящих → смена тенденции
Ключевой фактор: Удержание над 200 EMA
2. Медвежий (если пробьёт вниз)
Пробитие 66.5 → падение к 200 EMA
Критично: Закрытие ниже трендовой линии

✔️ Вывод
Приоритет: Ожидание пробоя 67.5 или 66.5
Бычий сценарий требует подтверждения объёмами
Медвежий — более вероятен при текущих индикаторах

⚠️ Важные нюансы
Авиационный сектор: Чувствителен к ценам на топливо
Валютные риски: Влияние курса рубля
Контроль RSI: Выход из зоны продавцов усилит бычий сигнал

Не является индивидуальной инвестиционной рекомендацией.

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Spiking bond yields driving sharp losses in tech stocks

A spike in interest rates since the start of the year has accelerated a rotation out of high-growth technology stocks and into value stocks poised to benefit from a reopening of the economy. The Nasdaq has fallen more than 10% over the past month as the Dow has soared to record highs, with a spike in the 10-year US Treasury yield acting as the main catalyst. It recently surged to a cycle high of more than 1.60% after starting the year below 1%. But according to Jim Paulsen, the Leuthold Group's chief investment strategist, rising interest rates do not represent a long-term threat to the stock market. Paulsen expects the 10-year yield to cross 2% by the end of the year. A spike in interest rates and its impact on the stock market depends on the economic backdrop, according to Paulsen. Rising interest rates amid a strengthening economy "may prove no challenge at all for stocks," Paulsen said.

✈️ Разбор акций "Аэрофлот" (AFLT-D)

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