Недавно писал про динамику рынка акций США после позитивного периода с декабря по февраль. Сегодня еще немного статистики на эту тему. @Капитал

Create: 2024-03-04 Update: 2024-05-01 09:25:47

Недавно писал про динамику рынка акций США после позитивного периода с декабря по февраль. Сегодня еще немного статистики на эту тему.

В таблице показана динамика S&P-500 на разных периодах после того, как любые 4 календарных месяца подряд закрылись в плюсе. Результаты в следующие 6 и 12 месяцев тоже выглядят для «быков» многообещающе: в 2 и более раза выше, чем рандомный 6- и 12-месячный период со 100% позитивных исходов.

Случаев таких после 1950 г. набралось 15. Не 30, конечно, считающихся необходимым минимумом для заслуживающей доверия статистики, но тоже неплохо. Время сейчас летит быстро, поэтому скоро сравним ожидания и реальность.

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Недавно писал про динамику рынка акций США после позитивного периода с декабря по февраль. Сегодня еще немного статистики на эту тему.