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Create: 2024-04-06 Update: 2024-04-30 07:07:24

نمودار دانینگ کراگر و بورس

نمودار دانینگ کراگر به بررسی روند توهم دانایی در انسان می پردازد. در بسیاری از حوزه ها مردم تمایل دارند ارزیابی بیشتری از توانایی های خود داشته باشند و این باعث برخورد با منتقدین و تصمیمات ضعیف و خطرناکی می شود. همه ما کم و بیش با این توهم دانایی دست به گریبان هستیم و نتایجش را در زندگی دیده ایم و گاها برایمان مایه تاسف و شرمساری بوده ‌است.

در این نمودار محور عمودی اعتماد به نفس و محور افقی تجربه است. در اوایل مسیر، افراد کم تجربه دارای اعتماد به نفس بالایی هستند و با دانشی قرضی و اطلاعاتی پراکنده، خودشان را صاحب نظر میدانند. نمونه اش اظهار نظر افراد مختلف در تاکسی هاست. با گذشت زمان و کسب تجربه، به دره ناامیدی می رسند. بسیاری از افراد بخاطر شرایط نامناسب و یا کم همتی تا پایان عمر در همین دره زندگی می کنند ولی درصد کمی با گذر از این مرحله و با فروتنی و کسب تجربه، کم کم توانایی های خود را افزایش داده و به حالت سکوت روشن بینی می رسند. اگر بتوانیم در زندگی کمتر قضاوت کنیم و سریعا نظری قاطع ندهیم و در یک کلام نخود هر آشی نشویم، شاید روزی زمین دلمان بارور شود.

و اما در مورد بازار سرمایه نیز داستان به همین‌ شکل است و اگر میخواهم دوام بیاورم، باید غرور را کنار گذاشته و از قله حماقت پایین بیایم و برای گذر از دره ناامیدی بدانم که با چند جدول اکسل بنیادی، چارت تکنیکی و فیلتر نمی توانم بازار را هم جهت با پیش بینی خود کنم. بهترین راه فروتنی در محضر آقای بازار و شناخت اوست، و البته در بهترین حالت گلاویز نشدن با روند و برنامه ریزی برای حرکت در مسیر جریان بازار...

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Telegram hopes to raise $1bn with a convertible bond private placement

The super secure UAE-based Telegram messenger service, developed by Russian-born software icon Pavel Durov, is looking to raise $1bn through a bond placement to a limited number of investors from Russia, Europe, Asia and the Middle East, the Kommersant daily reported citing unnamed sources on February 18, 2021.The issue reportedly comprises exchange bonds that could be converted into equity in the messaging service that is currently 100% owned by Durov and his brother Nikolai.Kommersant reports that the price of the conversion would be at a 10% discount to a potential IPO should it happen within five years.The minimum bond placement is said to be set at $50mn, but could be lowered to $10mn. Five-year bonds could carry an annual coupon of 7-8%.

نمودار دانینگ کراگر و بورس

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