Create: 2024-05-15 Update: 2024-06-01 01:11:34

ЕВРОКОМИССИЯ: РОСТ ЕВРОПЕЙСКИХ ЭКОНОМИК В ЭТОМ ГОДУ ВИДИТСЯ ДОВОЛЬНО СКРОМНЫМ

Остальные прогнозы ЕК по Европе: “…в начале года экономика ЕС восстановилась после длительного периода стагнации. В 2023 году экономическая активность в целом довольно низкой. Только частное потребление сумело вырасти на скромную величину. Несмотря на устойчивую занятость и рост заработной платы, доходы домохозяйств едва опережали инфляцию. Темпы роста пока все еще оцениваются ниже оценки потенциала. Активность в зоне евро в 1кв24 несколько ожила, и это ознаменовало конец умеренной рецессии, наблюдавшейся в второй половине прошлого года. Тем временем инфляция в ЕС снизилась в первом квартале…”

• МИР 2024: 3.2% vs 2.9% в осеннем прогнозе, 2025: 3.3% (ранее: 3.2%)
• Еврозона 2024: 0.8% vs 1.2% ранее, 2025: 1.4%
• Евросоюз 2024: 1.0% vs 1.3%, 2025: 1.6%
• Китай 2024: 4.8% vs 4.6%, 2025: 4.6% (unch)
• США 2024: 2.4% vs 1.4%, 2025: 2.1% vs 1.8%

Довольно неплохо пересмотрены вверх США, в Европе рост довольно умеренный, а крупнейшая экономика региона, Германия, после снижения в 2023 году на -0.3% гг. покажет очень скромный рост в этом году (0.1%)

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ЕВРОКОМИССИЯ: РОСТ ЕВРОПЕЙСКИХ ЭКОНОМИК В ЭТОМ ГОДУ ВИДИТСЯ ДОВОЛЬНО СКРОМНЫМ

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