Харисов о политике | United States America (US)

Create: 2025-06-24 Update: 2025-06-28 18:13:43

Израиль и Иран объявили о перемирии при прямом участии Трампа, но выглядит это скорее как пауза, чем реальный мир.

Трамп говорит о «полном и всеобщем прекращении огня», однако Иран уже обменивается ударами с Израилем, и все перемирие висит на волоске. Россия оперативно поддержала решение, но сразу предупредила: это не мир, а очень хрупкий баланс на грани срыва.

Очень похоже на нашу ситуацию с Украиной. Если бы мы сейчас согласились на 30-дневный режим прекращения огня, ВСУ нарушили бы его в первые часы. Причина простая – доверие на нуле, и любой мелкий инцидент может снова вернуть конфликт в активную фазу.

Есть инсайд, что иранцы еще на переговорах дали понять: даже при полном контроле Тегерана есть давление со стороны радикальных сил, которые считают перемирие слабостью и требуют продолжения конфликта. Но открытого саботажа не будет.

В итоге даже Трамп, несмотря на весь его политический вес, не гарантирует устойчивости: перемирие – скорее медийный жест, чем политический прорыв. Пока в регионе все решают не заявления лидеров, а конкретные люди на местах.

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Харисов о политике

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Харисов о политике

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Израиль и Иран объявили о перемирии при прямом участии Трампа

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