Create: 2025-06-02 Update: 2025-06-30 19:03:24

Тем временем в Польше прошел второй тур президентских выборов. С незначительным отрывом победил кандидат, которого поддерживает крупнейшая оппозиционная партия «Право и Справедливость», Кароль Навроцки.

Выбор между чуть менее правым и более правым, между чуть более либералом и чуть более консерватором был сделан в пользу более правого консерватора. Это не победа «Права и Справедливости», это поражение правящей коалиции и победа ещё более правых сил, вроде «Конфедерации» в ее разных итерациях.

Можно сказать, что это последние скучные выборы в Польше. Поствыборный кризис в правящей коалиции и дальнейших рост ультраправых настроений станут фоном для парламентских выборов осенью 2027 года.

А пока можно лишь констатировать, что напряжение между правительством и президентом Польши сохранятся, и, если они и дальше будут продолжать борьбу между собой, то дверь для ультраправых будет открываться все более сильно.

Кароль Навроцки не Фицо и не Орбан, но к 2027 году «орбанизация» может набрать обороты.

Что итог выборов означает для беларусской диаспоры в Польше? Нужно заниматься вопросами собственной легализации без оглядки на политиков в ближайшие два года. Общий тренд на ужесточение миграционного законодательства и практик будет при любом политическом раскладе. Серьезные изменения могут быть только после 2027 года.

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Тем временем в Польше прошел второй тур президентских выборов. С незначительным отрывом победил кандидат

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