Народное Антикризисное Управление | United States America (US)

Create: 2024-02-14 Update: 2024-06-04 19:58:57

Трансфармацыя палітычнай сістэмы

Намеснік кіраўніка НАУ Арцём Брухан у эфіры канала «Белсат News» пра сцэнары транзіту ўлады ў Беларусі.

https://youtu.be/sDguQobhgvg

На нашых вачах адбываецца па сутнасці трансфармацыя палітычнай сістэмы, убудоўванне новага канстытуцыйнага органа — Усебеларускага народнага сходу. Вядома, адбываецца гэта дзеля мэтаў самога Лукашэнкі. Самым лагічным для яго бачыцца заняць дзве пасады, сумяшчаць іх нейкі час, каб не наступаць на тыя ж граблі, як у Казахстане.

Таксама ён можа глядзець на прыклад Туркменістана: на пасаду прэзідэнта ён можа накіраваць кагосьці, каму будзе давяраць на 100%, а гэта — яго сын Віктар. У той жа час сам можа заняць пасаду старшыні УНС. У нейкай ступені гэта можа прадухіліць сцэнар, які адбыўся ў Казахстане. Цалкам можа быць і так, што Лукашэнка будзе сумяшчаць пасады, а ўжо потым перадасць уладу.

Але і грамадства — яно не зацэментаванае, сітуацыя можа змяніцца, хоць і казаць пра тое, калі гэта адбудзецца, вельмі складана. Узровень рэпрэсій і гвалту, узровень кантролю над грамадствам сведчаць пра пераўтварэнне аўтарытарнай сістэмы ў таталітарную. Такі ўзровень гвалту і рэпрэсій прыводзіць да стагнацыі, зачышэшчэння грамадства. Аднак не зачыняе акно магчымасцей — і да яго варта рыхтавацца.

@nau_belarus

Народное Антикризисное Управление

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Народное Антикризисное Управление

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Mr. Durov launched Telegram in late 2013 with his brother, Nikolai, just months before he was pushed out of VK, the Russian social-media platform he founded. Mr. Durov pitched his new app—funded with the proceeds from the VK sale—less as a business than as a way for people to send messages while avoiding government surveillance and censorship.

Трансфармацыя палітычнай сістэмы

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Telegram Updated: 2024-06-04 19:58:57

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