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Create: 2025-06-28 Update: 2025-06-30 11:12:18

♦️چرا تغییر رژیم در ایران می‌تواند اشتباهی بزرگ باشد؟

نشریه مادرن دیپلماسی در گزارشی درباره تبعات تغییر حکومت در ایران می‌نویسد:

🔹اسرائیل هدف خود را در مناقشه با ایران گسترش داده و اکنون نه تنها به دنبال نابودی برنامه‌های هسته‌ای و موشکی جمهوری اسلامی است، بلکه قصد دارد تغییر رژیم در تهران را نیز دنبال کند. این تغییر رویکرد به دلیل شباهت با مداخلات پیشین، زنگ خطر را به صدا درآورده است.

🔹نمونه‌های عراق، لیبی و سوریه نشان می‌دهند که تغییرات ناگهانی رژیم‌ها غالباً منجر به جنگ داخلی و مهاجرت‌های گسترده می‌شوند.

🔹ساختار پیچیده حکومت ایران، در صورت فروپاشی خشونت‌آمیز، می‌تواند موجب تجزیه کشور و موج مهاجرتی حتی شدیدتر شود.

🔹علاوه بر این، اختلافات فزاینده در داخل ایالات متحده و مواضع متضاد در اروپا نیز بر پیچیدگی صحنه جهانی می‌افزایند.

🔹ایران، با جمعیت و وسعت جغرافیایی و تنوع قومی خود، در صورت فروپاشی، می‌تواند منشأ بحرانی باشد که نه‌فقط منطقه، بلکه اروپا و حتی جهان را تحت تأثیر قرار دهد.

🔹سیاست‌گذاران غربی باید با دقت، هوشیاری و بر پایه تجربیات تاریخی، از تکرار اشتباهاتی پرهزینه جلوگیری کنند.
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Spiking bond yields driving sharp losses in tech stocks

A spike in interest rates since the start of the year has accelerated a rotation out of high-growth technology stocks and into value stocks poised to benefit from a reopening of the economy. The Nasdaq has fallen more than 10% over the past month as the Dow has soared to record highs, with a spike in the 10-year US Treasury yield acting as the main catalyst. It recently surged to a cycle high of more than 1.60% after starting the year below 1%. But according to Jim Paulsen, the Leuthold Group's chief investment strategist, rising interest rates do not represent a long-term threat to the stock market. Paulsen expects the 10-year yield to cross 2% by the end of the year. A spike in interest rates and its impact on the stock market depends on the economic backdrop, according to Paulsen. Rising interest rates amid a strengthening economy "may prove no challenge at all for stocks," Paulsen said.

♦️چرا تغییر رژیم در ایران می‌تواند اشتباهی بزرگ باشد؟

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