اثر تحریم بر صادرات نفت ایران @یادداشت های مالی

یادداشت های مالی | United States America (US)

Create: 2024-03-29 Update: 2024-06-01 13:31:34

اثر تحریم بر صادرات نفت ایران

در دهه هشتاد صادرات روزانه نفت ایران به طور متوسط 2380 هزار بشکه بوده که این عدد در دهه نود و بعد از آن با 37 درصد کاهش، به طور متوسط به 1518 هزار بشکه رسیده است.

با لحاظ نمودن اثر تورم آمریکا بر قیمت های نفت سال های گذشته، به بایستی گفت درآمد نفتی هر فصل از متوسط 17 میلیارد دلار در دهه هشتاد به 12.7 میلیارد دلار رسیده است.

با فرض دهه نود برای مبدا تحریم ها و اینکه تنها عامل کاهش فروش نفت ایران از ابتدای دهه نود تاکنون فقط تحریم باشد، می توان برآوردی از اثر تحریم ها بر صادرات نفت ایران داشت:

با فرض عدم تحریم و تکرار مقادیر فروش دهه هشتاد در ادامه مسیر، انتظار می رفت متوسط درآمد فصلی نفت ایران 19 میلیارد دلار باشد. بدین ترتیب می توان گفت به دلیل تحریم ها، در هر فصل 6.3 میلیارد دلار درآمد کمتر طی این 12 سال اخیر نصیب ایران شده که جمع آن 344 میلیارد دلار برآورد می گردد.

یادداشت های مالی
@finnota

یادداشت های مالی

از دست رفتن نقش ایران در بازار انرژی از دهه 1970 میلادی، کشورهای مصرف کننده نفت که عموما همان کشورهای با اقتصاد صنعتی و پیشرفته بودند، مجموعه ای از سیاست گذاری و اقدامات را جهت کاهش وابستگی خود به نفت پیگیری نمودند. از جمله این اقدامات می توان به تشکیل…

hottg.com/finnota/215

1.6K viewsMar 29 at 12:05

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یادداشت های مالی

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اثر تحریم بر صادرات نفت ایران