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Create: 2024-01-25 Update: 2024-05-21 02:45:24

В рамках программы информирования читателей:

На флагманском проекте CrimsonAnalytics опубликован монстр-текст: [Новостной деск] Поговорим о нефти. Рок-н-ролл — мёртв, а суперцикл — ещё нет

В тексте:
- рассуждения о суперцикле цен на сырьевые товары,
- исследования американского сланцевого сектора,
- канадские представления о прекрасном и вечном,
- банка колы (наполненная нефтью),
- алкоголик Василий как иллюстрация проблем макроэкономических моделей
- аналитики Goldman Sachs с калькулятором
- и даже японские "финансовые самураи" из Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group с предупреждениями о будущем.

Предупреждаю: это лучше читать медленно и с кофе (или чем-то более крепким, но это на любителя).

В качестве мини-бонус-трека: лёгкий "отжиг" любимого нефтяника Уоррена Баффетта на форуме в Давосе.

Приятного чтения.

Кримсон Дайджест

Sponsr

[Новостной деск] Поговорим о нефти. Рок-н-ролл — мёртв, а суперцикл — ещё нет | CrimsonAlter – Analytics

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88.3K viewsJan 25 at 13:34

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Spiking bond yields driving sharp losses in tech stocks

A spike in interest rates since the start of the year has accelerated a rotation out of high-growth technology stocks and into value stocks poised to benefit from a reopening of the economy. The Nasdaq has fallen more than 10% over the past month as the Dow has soared to record highs, with a spike in the 10-year US Treasury yield acting as the main catalyst. It recently surged to a cycle high of more than 1.60% after starting the year below 1%. But according to Jim Paulsen, the Leuthold Group's chief investment strategist, rising interest rates do not represent a long-term threat to the stock market. Paulsen expects the 10-year yield to cross 2% by the end of the year. A spike in interest rates and its impact on the stock market depends on the economic backdrop, according to Paulsen. Rising interest rates amid a strengthening economy "may prove no challenge at all for stocks," Paulsen said.

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