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🏦🛒РЕТЕЙЛЕРЫ МОГУТ ПОКАЗАТЬ РОСТ РАНЬШЕ, ЧЕМ МЫ ОЖИДАЛИ

Средние расходы домохозяйств (ДХ) неожиданно показали резкий рост на прошедшей неделе. C 9 по 15 июня (24-ая неделя) среднестатистическая российская семья потратила на покупку продуктов и товаров повседневного спроса 8938 рублей (+6,8% за неделю) — данные РОМИР.

Ранее мы писали о взаимосвязи Индекса потребительского сектора Мосбиржи (MOEXCN) и расходами ДХ. Свежие данные показывают значимую корреляцию между рядами данных.

Резкий рост расходов ДХ нетипичен в июне. Текущая динамика – исключение, за шесть лет это второй случай роста расходов ДХ на 24 неделе года.

Исходя из предположения, что корреляция между признаками будет оставаться выраженной, вероятность «схлопывания» спреда, особенно после 27-28 недели года (с 01 по 14 июля), значительна.

Аналитик Денис Масленников

СОЛИД Pro Инвестиции
🏦🛒РЕТЕЙЛЕРЫ МОГУТ ПОКАЗАТЬ РОСТ РАНЬШЕ, ЧЕМ МЫ ОЖИДАЛИ

Средние расходы домохозяйств (ДХ) неожиданно показали резкий рост на прошедшей неделе. C 9 по 15 июня (24-ая неделя) среднестатистическая российская семья потратила на покупку продуктов и товаров повседневного спроса 8938 рублей (+6,8% за неделю) — данные РОМИР.

Ранее мы писали о взаимосвязи Индекса потребительского сектора Мосбиржи (MOEXCN) и расходами ДХ. Свежие данные показывают значимую корреляцию между рядами данных.

Резкий рост расходов ДХ нетипичен в июне. Текущая динамика – исключение, за шесть лет это второй случай роста расходов ДХ на 24 неделе года.

Исходя из предположения, что корреляция между признаками будет оставаться выраженной, вероятность «схлопывания» спреда, особенно после 27-28 недели года (с 01 по 14 июля), значительна.

Аналитик Денис Масленников
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Telegram and Signal Havens for Right-Wing Extremists

Since the violent storming of Capitol Hill and subsequent ban of former U.S. President Donald Trump from Facebook and Twitter, the removal of Parler from Amazon’s servers, and the de-platforming of incendiary right-wing content, messaging services Telegram and Signal have seen a deluge of new users. In January alone, Telegram reported 90 million new accounts. Its founder, Pavel Durov, described this as “the largest digital migration in human history.” Signal reportedly doubled its user base to 40 million people and became the most downloaded app in 70 countries. The two services rely on encryption to protect the privacy of user communication, which has made them popular with protesters seeking to conceal their identities against repressive governments in places like Belarus, Hong Kong, and Iran. But the same encryption technology has also made them a favored communication tool for criminals and terrorist groups, including al Qaeda and the Islamic State.

🏦🛒РЕТЕЙЛЕРЫ МОГУТ ПОКАЗАТЬ РОСТ РАНЬШЕ

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