СОЛИД Pro Инвестиции | United States America (US)

Create: 2025-06-06 Update: 2025-06-30 12:40:13

🗝Ключевое решение ЦБ РФ от 06.06.2025:

Ставка снижена до 20% (-100 б.п) — первое смягчение с начала цикла.
Причина: Замедление инфляции до 9.8% и снижение устойчивой инфляции до 5.5–7.5%.

Жёсткая политика сохранится:
➡Цель: 4% инфляции к 2026 году.
➡Риски: Высокие инфляционные ожидания населения, рост цен на услуги/продовольствие.

Контекст:
• Экономика возвращается к сбалансированному росту, но спрос всё ещё опережает предложение.
• Рынок труда перегрет: безработица на минимумах, зарплаты растут быстрее производительности.
• Кредитование сдержанное, ставки остаются высоки в реальном выражении.

Дальнейшие шаги ЦБ зависят от:
• Скорости снижения инфляции,
• Динамики рубля и цен на нефть,
• Бюджетной политики (её нормализация — дезинфляционный фактор).

🏦 Снижение ставки — сигнал осторожного оптимизма, но «денежные тормоза» не отпущены.

Следующее заседание Совета директоров Банка России состоится 25 июля 2025 года.

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Telegram has no known backdoors and, even though it is come in for criticism for using proprietary encryption methods instead of open-source ones, those have yet to be compromised. While no messaging app can guarantee a 100% impermeable defense against determined attackers, Telegram is vulnerabilities are few and either theoretical or based on spoof files fooling users into actively enabling an attack.

🗝Ключевое решение ЦБ РФ от 06.06.2025:

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