Александр Семёнов | United States America (US)

Create: 2025-06-17 Update: 2025-06-27 11:53:07

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На мой взгляд сейчас не всё так однозначно складывается в противостоянии Ирана и Израиля.
Предполагал, что в основе стратегии Израиля лежит простая идея ликвидации высших ЛПР Ирана в короткие сроки для дестабилизации ситуации из-за управленческого паралича.
И для этого были все косвенные подтверждения.
И действительно, если бы Израиль в очень короткие сроки (2-3 дня) реализовал бы свой замысел, то если не смена режима, но по крайней мере его смягчение, доминирование в руководстве Ирана "голубей", можно было бы ожидать.

Но теперь предполагаю, что что-то пошло явно не по плану.
И косвенными признаками выступают и заявления Нетаньяху, и заявления о неких новых планах.
Лично у меня сейчас складывается впечатление, что Израиль уже упускает время, запаздывает.
Потому как, какой бы архаичной и неповоротливой не была бы система управления, но она способна перестроиться, если для этого будет необходимое количество времени.

Александр Семёнов

Кремлёвский безБашенник

Приходящие из Ирана видео создают полное впечатление скорого коллапса и демонтажа политического режима, военные действия это подтверждают, но торопиться с такими выводами пока не стоит.

Удары по национальному телевещательному центру, бегство заключенных…

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Александр Семёнов

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