"Нефтегазовая игра" с Александром Фроловым | United States America (US)

Create: 2025-06-14 Update: 2025-06-27 05:48:03

Пишут, что "Тегеран изучает возможность закрытия Ормузского пролива".

Проблема не в том, что эту возможность изучает иранское руководство. Это вещь самоочевидная. И в уме все заинтересованные стороны её держат десятилетиями.

Проблема в сложностях, с которыми может столкнутся судоходство, если конфликт затянется и разрастётся. То есть не надо полностью перекрывать пролив и снижать поставки через эту артерию до нуля, чтобы мировой рынок столкнулся с дефицитом энергоресурсов. Достаточно рисков падения обломков на суда с углеводородными грузами. А такие риски неизбежный в случае затягивания и разрастания конфликта.

"Нефтегазовая игра" с Александром Фроловым

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"Нефтегазовая игра" с Александром Фроловым

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Spiking bond yields driving sharp losses in tech stocks

A spike in interest rates since the start of the year has accelerated a rotation out of high-growth technology stocks and into value stocks poised to benefit from a reopening of the economy. The Nasdaq has fallen more than 10% over the past month as the Dow has soared to record highs, with a spike in the 10-year US Treasury yield acting as the main catalyst. It recently surged to a cycle high of more than 1.60% after starting the year below 1%. But according to Jim Paulsen, the Leuthold Group's chief investment strategist, rising interest rates do not represent a long-term threat to the stock market. Paulsen expects the 10-year yield to cross 2% by the end of the year. A spike in interest rates and its impact on the stock market depends on the economic backdrop, according to Paulsen. Rising interest rates amid a strengthening economy "may prove no challenge at all for stocks," Paulsen said.

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