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Sina Soleymani | United States America (US)
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🎯#دلار #مهم

✍🏽 زمانی که بانک مرکزی برای نگه داشتن دلار روی ۶۰ تومان و کمتر ، گزارشات افتخار آمیز میداد ، عرض شد که این فشردگی قیمتی و اختلاف معنا دار با قیمت واقعی به زودی رها خواهد شد و لطمه آن به کل اقتصاد و مردم خواهد خورد.

✍🏽 حالا نمودار دلار گویای همه چیز هست و نیاز به هیچ توضیح و تفسیری نیست. دلار رها شده و احتمالا مجدد شاهد رشد دلار تا تخلیه شدن فشار تقاضای پشت دلار و تورم انباشته باشیم !

در این مدت رشد دلار بصورت واضحی با سایر دارایی ها عدم همخوانی داشته ! در طرف مقابل با تداوم نرخ بهره بالا ، بانک مرکزی مهم ترین ابزار خود را بی اثر کرده و از دست داده.
هم نرخ بهره بالا باعث رکود و نابودی صنایع شد و هم نرخ ارز و سکه جهش میکند.

در مطلب قبلی عرض شد که ارزش ذاتی دلار تا انتهای سال بر اساس روش PPP حدود ۷۴۰۰۰ تومان است.لذا با توجه به سرکوب نیمه نخست سال ، نیمه دوم سال باید منتظر رفتار بازار ارز بود.

@Marketerchnl

Sina Soleymani
Sina Soleymani
🎯#دلار ✍🏽 قبلا جدول ارزشیابی دلار با روش PPP ارائه شده بود که میانگین نرخ دلار برای سال ۱۴۰۳ با درنظر گرفتن تورم ۳۵ الی ۴۰٪ حدود ۷۵۰۰۰ تومان خواهد بود. از ابتدای سال تا امروز ، با وجود افت شدید صادرات در زنجیره های اصلی صادراتی کشور مثل فولاد و پتروشیمی ،…
🎯#دلار #مهم

✍🏽 زمانی که بانک مرکزی برای نگه داشتن دلار روی ۶۰ تومان و کمتر ، گزارشات افتخار آمیز میداد ، عرض شد که این فشردگی قیمتی و اختلاف معنا دار با قیمت واقعی به زودی رها خواهد شد و لطمه آن به کل اقتصاد و مردم خواهد خورد.

✍🏽 حالا نمودار دلار گویای همه چیز هست و نیاز به هیچ توضیح و تفسیری نیست. دلار رها شده و احتمالا مجدد شاهد رشد دلار تا تخلیه شدن فشار تقاضای پشت دلار و تورم انباشته باشیم !

در این مدت رشد دلار بصورت واضحی با سایر دارایی ها عدم همخوانی داشته ! در طرف مقابل با تداوم نرخ بهره بالا ، بانک مرکزی مهم ترین ابزار خود را بی اثر کرده و از دست داده.
هم نرخ بهره بالا باعث رکود و نابودی صنایع شد و هم نرخ ارز و سکه جهش میکند.

در مطلب قبلی عرض شد که ارزش ذاتی دلار تا انتهای سال بر اساس روش PPP حدود ۷۴۰۰۰ تومان است.لذا با توجه به سرکوب نیمه نخست سال ، نیمه دوم سال باید منتظر رفتار بازار ارز بود.

@Marketerchnl
hottg.com/Marketerchnl/6190
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🎯#دلار #مهم

Sina Soleymani TG
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