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🇦🇲🇮🇳🇫🇷🇬🇷 Janubiy Kavkazda yangi ittifoqchi konfiguratsiyalarning shakllanishini:

Armanistonning 2-Qorabog' urushidan keyin harbiy-siyosiy aloqalarni diversifikatsiya qilish istagi Hindistonni muhim sherikga aylantirdi. 2023-yilda Hindiston Armanistonga asosiy qurol yetkazib beruvchiga aylandi va bu masalada Rossiyani samarali ravishda almashtirdi. Shuningdek, Yerevan va Dehli Armaniston-Hindiston-Eron va Armaniston-Hindiston-Gretsiya-Fransiya kabi ko'p tomonlama formatlarda hamkorlikni boshlash yo'llarini o'rganmoqda. Bundan tashqari, bunday hamkorlikni strategik sheriklikka aylantirish salohiyati masalasi tobora ortib bormoqda.

Ikkala tomonning qiziqishining sababi juda aniq. Hindiston Rossiya va Yevropaga yangi va xavfsiz transport yo'laklariga muhtoj (Janubiy Kavkaz orqali o'tadigan yo'nalish eng qisqa variant bo'lib, Suvaysh kanaliga alternativa hisoblanadi). Bundan tashqari, Hindiston Turkiya-Pokiston ligamentini zaiflashtirishga harakat qilmoqda. Shu bilan birga, Armaniston Janubiy Kavkaz mintaqasining yangi xavfsizlik arxitekturasiga moslashishga harakat qilmoqda, bu yerda bugungi kunda turk ta'sirining kengayishi va Rossiyaning qisqarishi tendensiyasi mavjud.

Fransiya misolida, Armaniston-Hindiston-Gretsiya-Fransiya o'qiga qo'shilish bir vaqtning o'zida bir nechta muammolarni hal qiladi: 1) O'rta Yer dengizi va Janubiy Kavkazdagi turk ambitsiyalarini to'xtatish; 2) Yevropa Ittifoqining siyosiy markazi sifatida o'zini mustahkamlash; 3) mamlakat ichidagi jamoatchilik fikriga javob (arman diasporasi omili); 4) shuningdek, Rossiya uchun "yaqin xorijda" muammolarni yaratish, Parij nuqtai nazaridan, Kremlning frankofon Afrikadagi halokatli chizig'iga javoban.

Gretsiyaga kelsak, Afina Anqaraning kuchayishiga yo'l qo'ymaslik va Kipr muammosi va umuman O'rta Yer dengizi bo'yicha Fransiya bilan aloqalarini mustahkamlashdan manfaatdor. Yuqorida aytib o'tilgan barcha holatlarda Kavkaz katta jumboqlarning kichik qismidir.

Manba: M. Šerić, B. Poghosyan, S. Markedonov, S. Melkonyan yozuvlarida.
@JAHONSIYOSATI🇺🇳

Jahon siyosati 🇺🇳
🇦🇲🇮🇳🇫🇷🇬🇷 Janubiy Kavkazda yangi ittifoqchi konfiguratsiyalarning shakllanishini:

Armanistonning 2-Qorabog' urushidan keyin harbiy-siyosiy aloqalarni diversifikatsiya qilish istagi Hindistonni muhim sherikga aylantirdi. 2023-yilda Hindiston Armanistonga asosiy qurol yetkazib beruvchiga aylandi va bu masalada Rossiyani samarali ravishda almashtirdi. Shuningdek, Yerevan va Dehli Armaniston-Hindiston-Eron va Armaniston-Hindiston-Gretsiya-Fransiya kabi ko'p tomonlama formatlarda hamkorlikni boshlash yo'llarini o'rganmoqda. Bundan tashqari, bunday hamkorlikni strategik sheriklikka aylantirish salohiyati masalasi tobora ortib bormoqda.

Ikkala tomonning qiziqishining sababi juda aniq. Hindiston Rossiya va Yevropaga yangi va xavfsiz transport yo'laklariga muhtoj (Janubiy Kavkaz orqali o'tadigan yo'nalish eng qisqa variant bo'lib, Suvaysh kanaliga alternativa hisoblanadi). Bundan tashqari, Hindiston Turkiya-Pokiston ligamentini zaiflashtirishga harakat qilmoqda. Shu bilan birga, Armaniston Janubiy Kavkaz mintaqasining yangi xavfsizlik arxitekturasiga moslashishga harakat qilmoqda, bu yerda bugungi kunda turk ta'sirining kengayishi va Rossiyaning qisqarishi tendensiyasi mavjud.

Fransiya misolida, Armaniston-Hindiston-Gretsiya-Fransiya o'qiga qo'shilish bir vaqtning o'zida bir nechta muammolarni hal qiladi: 1) O'rta Yer dengizi va Janubiy Kavkazdagi turk ambitsiyalarini to'xtatish; 2) Yevropa Ittifoqining siyosiy markazi sifatida o'zini mustahkamlash; 3) mamlakat ichidagi jamoatchilik fikriga javob (arman diasporasi omili); 4) shuningdek, Rossiya uchun "yaqin xorijda" muammolarni yaratish, Parij nuqtai nazaridan, Kremlning frankofon Afrikadagi halokatli chizig'iga javoban.

Gretsiyaga kelsak, Afina Anqaraning kuchayishiga yo'l qo'ymaslik va Kipr muammosi va umuman O'rta Yer dengizi bo'yicha Fransiya bilan aloqalarini mustahkamlashdan manfaatdor. Yuqorida aytib o'tilgan barcha holatlarda Kavkaz katta jumboqlarning kichik qismidir.

Manba: M. Šerić, B. Poghosyan, S. Markedonov, S. Melkonyan yozuvlarida.
@JAHONSIYOSATI🇺🇳
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🇦🇲🇮🇳🇫🇷🇬🇷 Janubiy Kavkazda yangi ittifoqchi konfiguratsiyalarning shakllanishini:

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