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Create: 2025-03-04 Update: 2025-06-29 16:02:25

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💰 بیت کوین در حال حاضر در حال شکل‌دهی به سومین الگوی اصلاحی خود در چرخه صعودی است که از اوایل سال ۲۰۲۳ آغاز شده است. این موضوع با بررسی UTXO Age Bands در بازه‌های ۳-۱ ماهه و ۶-۳ ماهه مشخص می‌شود.

در تابستان‌های ۲۰۲۳ و ۲۰۲۴، بیت کوین وارد فازهای اصلاحی چندماهه شد که هرکدام حدود شش ماه طول کشیدند. در این دوره‌ها، باند ۶-۳ ماهه روندی صعودی داشت و فاصله خود را با باند ۳-۱ ماهه کم کرد. این سطح معمولاً به‌عنوان یک منطقه مقاومتی عمل کرده، جایی که بیت کوین ابتدا واکنش منفی نشان داده، اما پس از عبور از این سطح، روند صعودی جدیدی را آغاز کرده است.

اگر این الگو دوباره تکرار شود، فاز اصلاحی فعلی می‌تواند ۲ تا ۳ ماه دیگر ادامه داشته باشد و قیمت بیت کوین در محدوده ۸۰ تا ۱۰۰ هزار دلار نوسان کند. در چنین سناریویی، شکست قدرتمند سطح ۱۰۰ هزار دلار می‌تواند پایان اصلاح را تایید کرده و مسیر را برای یک رشد جدید تا ۱۳۰ هزار دلار هموار کند.

‼️توجه داشته باشید که این صرفا دیدگاه من نسبت به بازار بر اساس داده‌های موجوده و ممکنه کاملا اشتباه باشه.

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Grizzly

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@GrizzlyBTCloverr

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