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幾個月前，《華爾街日報》就談到了中國在宣傳上刻意弱化SARS-CoV-2病毒的危害性，是中國防疫封控將放開的徵兆。幾個月以來，中國的輿論已經從Omicron毒性低，是大號感冒，變成了Omicron毒性連流感都不如，幾乎沒有病死率。醫院也把因COVID-19去世的病人盡可能統計為其他死因。反正你可以死，但不能死於新冠。

近日中國媒體大力宣傳的Omicron致病力低的研究結果，就是典型的謊言。Omicron早就發生了針對人類的適應性演化，在適應人類的同時，也會損失對其他物種的適應性。Omicron在小鼠上致病力越來越低能代表在人類身上的表現嗎？

Omicron相比Delta毒性確實低一些，但是以入院風險計算的毒性相比原始毒株和Alpha變種只高不低。據香港衛生署，Omicron在香港未接種疫苗的全人群病死率達2.87%，未接種疫苗的80歲以上的老人病死率高達15.68%，這叫毒性低？之所以看起來Omicron毒性不高，是因為Omicron在最初爆發時，全球多數人口已經被感染過或者接種過疫苗。中國現在沒經歷過全面疫情爆發，疫苗接種率雖然很高，但是基於原始毒株研發的滅活疫苗面對Omicron有效率聊勝於無，整體情況比此前香港更糟，而香港保持着每百萬人口日增死亡的最高記錄。

從病毒進化規律來講，病毒毒性應該是逐漸減弱的，但為甚麼SARS-CoV-2沒有呈現出該規律以至於出現了Delta這種毒王？因為SARS-CoV-2主要是在沒有出現明顯症狀時傳播的，等出現了症狀以後，病患無論是被隔離還是直接去世，對傳播已經影響不大了。幾年以後人類確實會看到毒性下降的SARS-CoV-2病毒，但也會看到毒性更高的SARS-CoV-2病毒，因為到時候Omicron早就進一步分化為多种血清分型不同的病毒了，而人類只會被反覆地突破感染。

守夜的黑貓
幾個月前，《華爾街日報》就談到了中國在宣傳上刻意弱化SARS-CoV-2病毒的危害性，是中國防疫封控將放開的徵兆。幾個月以來，中國的輿論已經從Omicron毒性低，是大號感冒，變成了Omicron毒性連流感都不如，幾乎沒有病死率。醫院也把因COVID-19去世的病人盡可能統計為其他死因。反正你可以死，但不能死於新冠。

近日中國媒體大力宣傳的Omicron致病力低的研究結果，就是典型的謊言。Omicron早就發生了針對人類的適應性演化，在適應人類的同時，也會損失對其他物種的適應性。Omicron在小鼠上致病力越來越低能代表在人類身上的表現嗎？

Omicron相比Delta毒性確實低一些，但是以入院風險計算的毒性相比原始毒株和Alpha變種只高不低。據香港衛生署，Omicron在香港未接種疫苗的全人群病死率達2.87%，未接種疫苗的80歲以上的老人病死率高達15.68%，這叫毒性低？之所以看起來Omicron毒性不高，是因為Omicron在最初爆發時，全球多數人口已經被感染過或者接種過疫苗。中國現在沒經歷過全面疫情爆發，疫苗接種率雖然很高，但是基於原始毒株研發的滅活疫苗面對Omicron有效率聊勝於無，整體情況比此前香港更糟，而香港保持着每百萬人口日增死亡的最高記錄。

從病毒進化規律來講，病毒毒性應該是逐漸減弱的，但為甚麼SARS-CoV-2沒有呈現出該規律以至於出現了Delta這種毒王？因為SARS-CoV-2主要是在沒有出現明顯症狀時傳播的，等出現了症狀以後，病患無論是被隔離還是直接去世，對傳播已經影響不大了。幾年以後人類確實會看到毒性下降的SARS-CoV-2病毒，但也會看到毒性更高的SARS-CoV-2病毒，因為到時候Omicron早就進一步分化為多种血清分型不同的病毒了，而人類只會被反覆地突破感染。
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幾個月前，《華爾街日報》就談到了中國在宣傳上刻意弱化SARS-CoV-2病毒的危害性，是中國防疫封控將放開的徵兆。幾個月以來，中國的輿論已經從Omicron毒性低，是大號感冒，變成了Omicron毒性連流感都不如，幾乎沒有病死率。醫院也把因COVID-19去世的病人盡可能統計為其他死因。反正你可以死，但不能死於新冠。

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